Rolling coverage of the day’s political developments as they happen
We’re going to close down this live blog now. Here’s a summary of the afternoon’s events:
You can read a summary of MPs’ questioning of May here – and one of her statement to parliament here.
And you can read the full story on May’s Brexit travails here:
The Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn, has addressed a meeting of his party’s peers and MPs, along with the shadow Brexit secretary, Keir Starmer.
They told the Parliamentary Labour Party that opposing any deal Theresa May brought back would not necessarily mean no deal was the alternative. A party source said:
Both Keir and Jeremy made clear that it isn’t a straightforward choice between the likely package that Theresa May brings back and no deal.
If we vote against it and it’s voted down in parliament, then there is the option of calling for a general election on the basis that the government is unable to deliver that outcome, that we would seek to reopen the negotiations on the basis of our alternative plan and then, failing all that, all other options are on the table.
The Parliamentary Labour Party are not the only group meeting this evening. Cabinet Brexiters have also gathered. But my colleague, Pippa Crerar, has a worrying update:
I’m told “pizza summit” of Cabinet Brexiters @andrealeadsom @PennyMordaunt and @EstherMcVey1 is underway. @LiamFox is apparently at a CBI dinner. No word on Chris Grayling. Worrying update: pizza may not be served.
— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) October 15, 2018
Confirmation that Theresa May will address her fellow EU leaders this week. Her official spokesman says:
The PM has accepted an invitation from President Tusk to provide an update on the Brexit negotiations on Wednesday evening. This will take place in advance of a dinner discussion on Brexit by the 27 other member states.”
Labour MPs are also meeting this evening.
Corbyn arriving to speak to Labour MPs at tonight’s PLP meeting, expecting some words to strengthen resolve on Brexit vote
— Jessica Elgot (@jessicaelgot) October 15, 2018
The prime minister, Theresa May, has been invited to address her fellow EU leaders on Wednesday as she insists a deal remains “achievable”.
In a letter to European Council members, the EU president, Donald Tusk, says the Brexit negotiations have “proven to be more complicated than some may have expected”. But he adds: “We should nevertheless remain hopeful and determined, as there is good will to continue these talks on both sides.”
This week’s two-day summit will open with a debate on Brexit and a speech from May, “giving the UK government’s assessment of the negotiations”. The 27 other leaders of EU member states will then get together without May to “decide on how to take the negotiations forward, on the basis of a recommendation by our chief negotiator, Michel Barnier”.
Tusk expresses hope that a deal can be struck this month, adding:
But at the same time, responsible as we are, we must prepare the EU for a no-deal scenario, which is more likely than ever before. Like the UK, the [EU] Commission has started such preparations, and will give us an update during the meeting.
But let me be absolutely clear. The fact that we are preparing for a no-deal scenario must not, under any circumstances, lead us away from making every effort to reach the best agreement possible, for all sides. This is what our state of mind should be at this stage. As someone rightly said: ‘It always seems impossible until it’s done’. Let us not give up.
The summit will reconvene on Thursday for discussions on migration, security and international relations, as well as on economics, before meetings with 21 Asian countries.
I’ve summarised the main points from Theresa May’s opening statement already. (See 4.36pm.) But, as is often the case with these statements, some of the most interesting material came in the questions that were thrown at her, and in what she said in response. Here are the highlights from those responses.
We are working to get a good deal with the European Union. If it were the case that at the end of the negotiation process actually it was a no deal, that both sides agreed that no deal was there, than actually that would come back to this House, and then we would see what position this House would take in the circumstances of the time.
It was not clear what May meant by her answer, but in her Conservative party conference speech she told Brexiters that if they did not back her plan, they could end up with no Brexit, and so it is in her interests to talk up the prospect of a second referendum taking place. However it is very hard to see how a referendum could take place without the government allowing time for the legislation setting one up - and, given everything else she has said on this, it is difficult to imagine a government led by her actually doing this.
I do not believe that we should be extending article 50.
But May did not categorically rule it out. (I have taken out a heading in an earlier post saying she was unequivocal about this.)
Will she confirm today ... that a proposed backstop that would see Northern Ireland carved off in the EU customs union and parts of the single market, separated through a border in the Irish Sea from the UK’s own internal market, could never be accepted by her.
May replied:
When the UK leaves the European Union, it will be the UK that leave the European Union. We will be leaving the European Union together.
She also explained that this was why she could not accept the EU’s “backstop to the backstop”. Afterwards Dodds seemed to welcome her clarification.
The PM gave a commitment in the House today that “a backstop that would see NI carved off in the EU’s customs union and parts of the single market.......” is something “I could never accept”. She must hold to this.
— Nigel Dodds (@NigelDoddsDUP) October 15, 2018
By our team's count, 8 MP s asked PM for a reassurance on a time limit on UK wide customs union, none of them got a clear answer
— Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) October 15, 2018
That’s all from me for tonight.
My colleague Kevin Rawlinson is taking over now.
Theresa May will speak to French president Emmanuel Macron on Monday evening ahead of the European Council meeting, Downing Street has confirmed. As the Press Association reports, Macron told a press conference in Paris that he would discuss Brexit with the prime minister ahead of Wednesday’s two-day summit. Her official spokesman confirmed they were to speak by telephone, and said she had also recently spoken with German chancellor Angela Merkel and Dutch premier Mark Rutte. He added:
She has had, as she does ahead of any European council summit, conversations with some European leaders in recent days and she will be having more in the days to come.
Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, said today that Brexit is looking “a bit more difficult”, Reuters reports.
Here is some Twitter comment on May’s statement.
From Sky’s Faisal Islam
THIS is a really important historic debate - PM trying hard in difficult circumstances but majority for any deal appears to be disappearing before her eyes - under the cosh from most shades of opinion for a variety of different reasons, with concerted effort from peoples vote MPs
— Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) October 15, 2018
From the Guardian’s Jessica Elgot
The mood of the Commons should seriously worry Downing Street. No support for the PM's plan coming from any quarter. To me, it's the first day that no deal starts to feel tangible.
— Jessica Elgot (@jessicaelgot) October 15, 2018
From Politico Europe’s Tom McTague
View from in the chamber: that was a PM spinning on the way to a deal which is going to need Lab support. We shall see.
— Tom McTague (@TomMcTague) October 15, 2018
From Steve Richards
May is twisting and turning in increasingly contorted attempts to keep her government together. Brexit hardliners forced the weak Cameron to hold the referendum when few wanted one. Now May similarly weak. A braver PM wd state there’s only one solution to Irish Question : Remain
— steve richards (@steverichards14) October 15, 2018
From the Spectator’s Katy Balls
The hostile questions from across the House this afternoon – Leave/Remain/2nd ref - show just how difficult it will be to get any deal through the Commons: https://t.co/IxhSJjRHhh
— Katy Balls (@katyballs) October 15, 2018
These are from the BBC’s Adam Fleming in Brussels.
An EU diplomat working on Brexit has given some reaction to Theresa May's speech: Article 50 doesn't provide a legal basis for a permanent UK-wide customs arrangement but could for a temporary one, although there are other problems like how 3rd country trade deals apply. (1)
— Adam Fleming (@adamfleming) October 15, 2018
What's the point of agreeing a process for bringing the backstop to an end if there's no agreement on what comes afterwards? ie there is a need for a backstop to the backstop. (2)
— Adam Fleming (@adamfleming) October 15, 2018
Our friendly official thought Mrs May sounded optimistic in the Commons. The Brexit talks haven't broken down, they've been paused to give the PM some space and in an ideal world they'd start again on Thursday, they added. (3)
— Adam Fleming (@adamfleming) October 15, 2018
The May statement is over.
I will be posting reaction and a summary soon.